WHEN THE WEATHER SUMMARY TEXT IS RED, THIS INDICATES THAT A SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT IS ACTIVE FOR PARTS OF THE STATE, CLICK ANY OF THE TEXT TO VIEW THE SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.

630 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

CLOUDS...FOG AND DRIZZLE COVER MOST OF THE STATE THIS MORNING. ONLY THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES ARE CLEAR.

 LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ONLY VERY SLOWLY TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE STORM IS CONNECTED TO A WARM FRONT WHICH IS DRAPED OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN MARYLAND THIS MORNING. THE WARM FRONT WILL TRY TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE STATE TODAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE TURNPIKE AND ALSO OVER THE NORTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.

A WARM HUMID AIR MASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE COMMONWEALTH UNTIL THE STORM CAN MOVE THROUGH LATER THIS WEEK. THE TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S TODAY...AND 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS ON TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL HOLD IN THE UPPER 50S AND 60S.

Destructive Storms Target Central U.S. Again Today


Just like Sunday, the threat for significant severe weather is so high the government`s Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate Risk for several tornadoes, some of which will be long-lived and strong, destructive wind gusts peaking at 80 mph, and hail greater than baseball size. Cities in this zone of increased danger include Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Okla., Wichita Falls, Texas, Springfield, Mo., and Fayetteville, Ark.

Beyond the Moderate Risk area is a broad area of still-powerful thunderstorms that will stretch from the central Texas Plains all the way to the shores of the Great Lakes. Here, wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph, hail to the size of golf balls, and possibly even a few weak tornadoes are possible. This includes major cities such as Dallas, Kansas City, St. Louis, Chicago, Milwaukee, and Detroit.

The trigger for these massive storms is a cold front and low pressure system spinning through the Plains. It is stuck in place, meaning it has an unending supply of Gulf of Mexico moisture to draw northward into the Plains and Mississippi Valley. At the same time, cooler and drier air is filtering southward and eastward from the Rockies, setting up a boundary on which storms have been forming.

Beyond the severe threat, heavy rain is likely to make flooding a major concern as well today. Locally heavy rain could total 3 inches or more, particularly across northeastern Oklahoma and southwestern Missouri. A Flash Flood Watch is in place here, with additional Flash Flood and Flood Watches across eastern Minnesota. If you come across a flooded roadway, do not attempt to cross it, as it is likely deeper than it appears. It`s best to "Turn Around, Don`t Drown."

The severe threat won`t end today, unfortunately. Instead it will move slightly farther east on Tuesday as the cold front edges into the Mississippi Valley. Cities in the danger zone Tuesday include Detroit, Indianapolis, St. Louis, Little Rock, Ark., and Dallas.

On Sunday, nearly 500 severe weather reports were received from Oklahoma to Wisconsin, including 28 possible tornadoes. One person was killed in Oklahoma when the twister destroyed an entire mobile home park in Shawnee. Three-inch hail was reported Sunday evening in Cedar Vale, Kan., while Andover, Kan., was pummeled by baseball-sized hail. The severe weather ramped up Saturday with 178 severe reports, including a 90 mph gust reported in Nickerson, Kan.

 
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